Combat Edge Intelligence

Ednilson Santos vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-1Record18-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Peso Pesado Gold TeamTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ednilson SantosNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Kyle PrepolecNow 1566
If they win+12→ 1578
If they lose-12→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
Not available
Strike accuracy
34%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.69
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
45%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ednilson SantosKyle Prepolec
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (22%)
6 (43%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ednilson Santos55%
Kyle Prepolec 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ednilson Santos a 55% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Prepolec's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ednilson Santos finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Ednilson Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.