Edson Berto vs Noah Hermosillo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-12-1Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tiger's World of Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team Happy Valley
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edson BertoNoah Hermosillo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Noah Hermosillo88%
Edson Berto 12%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Noah Hermosillo a 88% favorite over Edson Berto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1526), separated by just 2 points.
Edson Berto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Edson Berto finishes 82% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.