Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Machavane vs Kevin Natividad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Creonte BJJ GymTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edson MachavaneNow 1595
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571
Kevin NatividadNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
Not available
Strike accuracy
34%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.66
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
83%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Edson MachavaneKevin Natividad
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Natividad60%
Edson Machavane 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 60% favorite over Edson Machavane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1597), separated by just 2 points.

Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Edson Machavane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Natividad 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.