Eduardo Henrique vs Jonathan Piersma
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record12-4-0
FlyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'7"Height5'11"
67"Reach73"
125 lbsWeight173 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eduardo HenriqueJonathan Piersma
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Piersma65%
Eduardo Henrique 35%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Piersma a 65% favorite over Eduardo Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eduardo Henrique's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1656), separated by just 5 points.
Eduardo Henrique finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Piersma 92%.
Jonathan Piersma carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.