Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Henrique vs Jonathan Piersma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record12-4-0
FlyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'7"Height5'11"
67"Reach73"
125 lbsWeight173 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo HenriqueNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Jonathan PiersmaNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
5
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eduardo HenriqueJonathan Piersma
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
4 (27%)
Submission
7 (58%)
4 (27%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eduardo Henrique and Jonathan Piersma within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Eduardo Henrique finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Piersma 92%.

Jonathan Piersma carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.