Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Terêncio vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record29-23-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo TerêncioNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Eduardo TerêncioJeremy Stephens
1550202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Terêncio73%
Jeremy Stephens 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Terêncio a 73% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1551), separated by just 2 points.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Terêncio finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.