Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Terêncio vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record29-23-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1661 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo TerêncioNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Jeremy StephensNow 1554
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
Not available
Strike accuracy
41%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.11
Not available
Takedown accuracy
38%
Not available
Takedown defense
62%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Eduardo TerêncioJeremy Stephens
1550202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Stephens72%
Eduardo Terêncio 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 72% favorite over Eduardo Terêncio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1554), separated by just 1 points.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Terêncio finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.