Combat Edge Intelligence

Egor Kostyuchenko vs Justin Burlinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
73"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamThe Dungeon BJJ and MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Egor KostyuchenkoNow 1650
If they win+24→ 1674
If they lose-24→ 1626
Justin BurlinsonNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.24
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.09
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
9.28

Trajectory

Egor KostyuchenkoJustin Burlinson
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (25%)
Submission
8 (80%)
5 (63%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Egor Kostyuchenko57%
Justin Burlinson 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Egor Kostyuchenko a 57% favorite over Justin Burlinson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Burlinson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1652), separated by just 2 points.

Egor Kostyuchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Egor Kostyuchenko finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Justin Burlinson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.