Combat Edge Intelligence

Egor Kostyuchenko vs Peace Nguphane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
73"Reach70.7"
170 lbsWeight168 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Egor KostyuchenkoNow 1626
If they win+24→ 1650
If they lose-24→ 1602
Peace NguphaneNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Egor KostyuchenkoPeace Nguphane
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (11%)
4 (57%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Egor Kostyuchenko56%
Peace Nguphane 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Egor Kostyuchenko a 56% favorite over Peace Nguphane in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Peace Nguphane's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Egor Kostyuchenko enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Peace Nguphane enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Egor Kostyuchenko finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Peace Nguphane 67%.

Egor Kostyuchenko carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.