Eimear Darcy vs Ilara Joanne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record13-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'3"
-Reach64"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Compound Martial ArtsTeamPitbull Brothers
What's at stake
Ilara Joanne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Eimear Darcy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1506
If they lose-21→ 1458
If they win+14→ 1536
If they lose-18→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eimear DarcyIlara Joanne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilara Joanne60%
Eimear Darcy 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 60% favorite over Eimear Darcy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ilara Joanne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1479, a 43-point edge.
Eimear Darcy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Eimear Darcy finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ilara Joanne 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.