Eldiyar Alymseitov vs Fredson Paixao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-1Record10-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Road Gym ChungjuTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eldiyar AlymseitovFredson Paixao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eldiyar Alymseitov66%
Fredson Paixao 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eldiyar Alymseitov a 66% favorite over Fredson Paixao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fredson Paixao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.
Eldiyar Alymseitov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Fredson Paixao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Eldiyar Alymseitov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Fredson Paixao 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.