Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Silvério vs Willer Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-13-1Record4-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
73"Reach-
172 lbsWeight184 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias SilvérioNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Willer AlvesNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Elias SilvérioWiller Alves
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
3 (14%)
Submission
2 (50%)
15 (68%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Silvério54%
Willer Alves 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Silvério a 54% favorite over Willer Alves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Willer Alves's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Willer Alves enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Elias Silvério finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Willer Alves 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.