Combat Edge Intelligence

Elise Reed vs Namiko Kawabata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record7-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
63"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight108 lbs
Kickside Martial ArtsTeamMouri Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elise ReedNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Namiko KawabataNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.46
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
53%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Elise ReedNamiko Kawabata
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
6 (75%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Namiko Kawabata79%
Elise Reed 21%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Namiko Kawabata a 79% favorite over Elise Reed in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1557), separated by just 4 points.

Elise Reed finishes 25% of wins inside the distance, Namiko Kawabata 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.