Combat Edge Intelligence

Elisha Ellison vs Everett Sims

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record4-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight261 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Everett Sims is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Elisha Ellison carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elisha EllisonNow 1534
If they win+26→ 1560
If they lose-22→ 1512
Everett SimsNow 1567
If they win+22→ 1589
If they lose-26→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.57
Sig. strikes / min
0.81
33%
Strike accuracy
67%
15.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.19
41%
Strike defense
31%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
1.22

Trajectory

Elisha EllisonEverett Sims
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
1 (20%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Everett Sims52%
Elisha Ellison 48%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Everett Sims a 52% favorite over Elisha Ellison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Everett Sims holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1534, a 33-point edge.

Elisha Ellison enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elisha Ellison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Everett Sims 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.