Elisha Ellison vs Patrick Vespaziani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record6-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'7"
78"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight242 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamMMA Spirit
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1558
If they lose-24→ 1510
If they win+16→ 1548
If they lose-16→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elisha EllisonPatrick Vespaziani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elisha Ellison60%
Patrick Vespaziani 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Elisha Ellison a 60% favorite over Patrick Vespaziani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1532), separated by just 2 points.
Elisha Ellison enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Vespaziani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elisha Ellison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Vespaziani 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.