Combat Edge Intelligence

Elmar Gasanov vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record14-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
SpartaTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elmar GasanovNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Khalil Rountree Jr.Now 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Elmar GasanovKhalil Rountree Jr.
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (67%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov71%
Khalil Rountree Jr. 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 71% favorite over Khalil Rountree Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.

Elmar Gasanov finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Khalil Rountree Jr. 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.