Combat Edge Intelligence

Elmar Gasanov vs Uran Satybaldiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
SpartaTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elmar GasanovNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Uran SatybaldievNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Elmar GasanovUran Satybaldiev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (22%)
8 (67%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov63%
Uran Satybaldiev 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 63% favorite over Uran Satybaldiev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Uran Satybaldiev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1686), separated by just 1 points.

Elmar Gasanov finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.