Combat Edge Intelligence

Elora Dana vs Mariya Agapova

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Elora Dana
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Elora Dana

“Onca Negra”

8-2-0FlyweightPFL

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record10-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65.5"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
CT Striker TeamTeamMMA Science Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elora DanaNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Mariya AgapovaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.55
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.83

Trajectory

Elora DanaMariya Agapova
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
5 (63%)
Submission
5 (50%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Elora Dana60%
Mariya Agapova 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elora Dana a 60% favorite over Mariya Agapova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1613), separated by just 5 points.

Elora Dana enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Elora Dana finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mariya Agapova 80%.

Mariya Agapova carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.