Combat Edge Intelligence

Emiliano Sordi vs Sam Hoger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Hoger
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Sam Hoger

“Alaskan Assassin”

10-4-0Light HeavyweightHoger MMA

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

27-14-1Record10-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Nova Uniao ArgentinaTeamMiletich Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emiliano SordiNow 1625
If they win+12→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1613
Sam HogerNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.79
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
51%
Strike accuracy
25%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
48%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
1.12
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
100%
Takedown defense
29%
8.28
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Emiliano SordiSam Hoger
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
7 (26%)
Submission
6 (60%)
2 (7%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Emiliano Sordi62%
Sam Hoger 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Emiliano Sordi a 62% favorite over Sam Hoger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Hoger's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Sam Hoger enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Emiliano Sordi finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hoger 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.