Combat Edge Intelligence

Emilio Quissua vs Paul Craig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Craig
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Paul Craig

“Bearjew”

17-10-1MiddleweightUFC

1663Good

Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record17-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'4"
-Reach76"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Planet Eater· 1654 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamScottish Hit Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emilio QuissuaNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638
Paul CraigNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1488 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
Not available
Strike defense
44%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.47
Not available
Takedown accuracy
19%
Not available
Takedown defense
35%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Emilio QuissuaPaul Craig
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (76%)
3 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Craig63%
Emilio Quissua 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Craig a 63% favorite over Emilio Quissua in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Emilio Quissua enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Paul Craig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Emilio Quissua finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Paul Craig 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.