Combat Edge Intelligence

Emily Ducote vs Mallory Martin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record10-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'4"
35,0"Reach63"
116 lbsWeight116 lbs
American Top Team OKCTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Emily DucoteNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Mallory MartinNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.45
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
52%
Strike accuracy
49%
7.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.64
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.20
Takedown avg.
2.28
14%
Takedown accuracy
44%
94%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Emily DucoteMallory Martin
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (33%)
Submission
2 (20%)
6 (40%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Mallory Martin53%
Emily Ducote 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mallory Martin a 53% favorite over Emily Ducote in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1601), separated by just 4 points.

Emily Ducote enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mallory Martin enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Emily Ducote finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mallory Martin 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.