Combat Edge Intelligence

Emily Peters Kagan vs Haidy Ahmed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record3-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
37.00Reach-
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTiger Team

What's at stake

Haidy Ahmed is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Emily Peters Kagan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Emily Peters KaganNow 1459
If they win+26→ 1485
If they lose-22→ 1437
Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+22→ 1515
If they lose-26→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
1.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Emily Peters KaganHaidy Ahmed
14501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (100%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed70%
Emily Peters Kagan 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 70% favorite over Emily Peters Kagan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Haidy Ahmed holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1459, a 34-point edge.

Emily Peters Kagan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Emily Peters Kagan finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Haidy Ahmed 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.