Combat Edge Intelligence

Erasyl Shukataev vs Keweny Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record12-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach68"
137 lbsWeight145 lbs
Almas KyrandaryTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erasyl ShukataevNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Keweny LopesNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Erasyl ShukataevKeweny Lopes
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
6 (46%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Erasyl Shukataev71%
Keweny Lopes 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erasyl Shukataev a 71% favorite over Keweny Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keweny Lopes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Erasyl Shukataev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Keweny Lopes 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.