Combat Edge Intelligence

Erasyl Shukataev vs Mehdi Saadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
137 lbsWeight140 lbs
Almas KyrandaryTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erasyl ShukataevNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Mehdi SaadiNow 1614
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Erasyl ShukataevMehdi Saadi
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
6 (46%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (15%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Mehdi Saadi52%
Erasyl Shukataev 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Saadi a 52% favorite over Erasyl Shukataev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erasyl Shukataev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Saadi 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.