Combat Edge Intelligence

Erasyl Shukataev vs Mehdi Saadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
137 lbsWeight140 lbs
Almas KyrandaryTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erasyl ShukataevNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Mehdi SaadiNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Erasyl ShukataevMehdi Saadi
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
6 (46%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (15%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Erasyl Shukataev and Mehdi Saadi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.

Mehdi Saadi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erasyl Shukataev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Saadi 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.