Combat Edge Intelligence

Eric Shelton vs Nilson Rojas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record9-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
36,5"Reach63"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamPitbull Martial Arts Center· 1689 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Nilson Rojas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Eric Shelton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eric SheltonNow 1639
If they win+13→ 1652
If they lose-11→ 1628
Nilson RojasNow 1655
If they win+15→ 1670
If they lose-17→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
64%
Strike defense
Not available
2.83
Takedown avg.
Not available
52%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
46%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.17
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Eric SheltonNilson Rojas
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
5 (28%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (50%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Nilson Rojas54%
Eric Shelton 46%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Nilson Rojas a 54% favorite over Eric Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Nilson Rojas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1639, a 16-point edge.

Eric Shelton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nilson Rojas 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.