Combat Edge Intelligence

Erick Maia vs Levan Khabalaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'2"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Labareda TeamTeamLongo's MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erick MaiaNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Levan KhabalaevNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Erick MaiaLevan Khabalaev
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
6 (67%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Erick Maia51%
Levan Khabalaev 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 51% favorite over Levan Khabalaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Levan Khabalaev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Levan Khabalaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Erick Maia finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Levan Khabalaev 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.