Combat Edge Intelligence

Ericka Almeida vs Molly McCann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'4"
38,0"Reach62"
135 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ericka AlmeidaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Molly McCannNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
40%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
44%
Strike defense
63%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.84
33%
Takedown accuracy
37%
38%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Ericka AlmeidaMolly McCann
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
6 (75%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Molly McCann52%
Ericka Almeida 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Molly McCann a 52% favorite over Ericka Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1596), separated by just 8 points.

Ericka Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Molly McCann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ericka Almeida finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Molly McCann 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.