Combat Edge Intelligence

Erik Koch vs Jack Grant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erik Koch
us

Erik Koch

“The Phoenix”

16-6-0LightweightUFC

1645Solid

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
71,5"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1684 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamFight Ministry

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erik KochNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Jack GrantNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.33
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
1.02
Takedown avg.
Not available
43%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
82%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.02
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Erik KochJack Grant
1650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
8 (50%)
Submission
10 (48%)
4 (25%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Grant52%
Erik Koch 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Grant a 52% favorite over Erik Koch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1647), separated by just 2 points.

Erik Koch finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jack Grant 95%.

Jack Grant carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.