Combat Edge Intelligence

Erivan Pereira vs Patrick Cote

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrick Cote
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Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

20-3-0Record23-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
-Reach75"
172 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erivan PereiraNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.68
Not available
Takedown accuracy
21%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Erivan PereiraPatrick Cote
17001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (30%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
3 (15%)
Submission
3 (14%)
11 (55%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Cote54%
Erivan Pereira 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 54% favorite over Erivan Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Erivan Pereira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1728), separated by just 2 points.

Erivan Pereira enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Erivan Pereira finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.