Combat Edge Intelligence

Ernesta Kareckaite vs Sabrinna de Sousa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-1Record6-0-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'4"
71"Reach62"
125 lbsWeight133 lbs
Fighters LandTeamKHK MMA

What's at stake

Sabrinna de Sousa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Ernesta Kareckaite carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ernesta KareckaiteNow 1582
If they win+28→ 1610
If they lose-20→ 1562
Sabrinna de SousaNow 1635
If they win+20→ 1655
If they lose-28→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.38
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
0.67
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ernesta KareckaiteSabrinna de Sousa
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
4 (67%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Sabrinna de Sousa60%
Ernesta Kareckaite 40%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Sabrinna de Sousa a 60% favorite over Ernesta Kareckaite in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Sabrinna de Sousa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1582, a 53-point edge.

Sabrinna de Sousa enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ernesta Kareckaite finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Sabrinna de Sousa 50%.

Ernesta Kareckaite carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.