Combat Edge Intelligence

Erson Yamamoto vs Hiroya Kondo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record10-16-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Krazy BeeTeamJapan Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Erson YamamotoNow 1475
If they win+16→ 1491
If they lose-16→ 1459
Hiroya KondoNow 1472
If they win+12→ 1484
If they lose-12→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Erson YamamotoHiroya Kondo
14501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (14%)
Submission
3 (30%)
4 (57%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Erson Yamamoto72%
Hiroya Kondo 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Erson Yamamoto a 72% favorite over Hiroya Kondo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1475 vs 1472), separated by just 3 points.

Erson Yamamoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Hiroya Kondo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Erson Yamamoto finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Hiroya Kondo 70%.

Erson Yamamoto and Hiroya Kondo share 3 common opponents: Yuki Ito, Makoto Takahashi and Yuya Shibata.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2025
Makoto Takahashi
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
LossSubmission (Kneebar) · 2024
Yuya Shibata
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
Yuki Ito
LossDecision (Split) · 2023