Eslam Abdul Baset vs Ismail Naurdiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record25-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
N/AReach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black Bulls TeamTeamTop Team Salzburg
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eslam Abdul BasetIsmail Naurdiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev60%
Eslam Abdul Baset 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 60% favorite over Eslam Abdul Baset in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.
Eslam Abdul Baset enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Eslam Abdul Baset finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ismail Naurdiev 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.