Combat Edge Intelligence

Evan Esguerra vs Lincoln Strong

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-7-0Record2-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
140 lbsWeight146 lbs
True Fight ClubTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evan EsguerraNow 1522
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Lincoln StrongNow 1516
If they win+24→ 1540
If they lose-24→ 1492

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1473 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Evan EsguerraLincoln Strong
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (13%)
Submission
1 (50%)
4 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Evan Esguerra and Lincoln Strong within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1516), separated by just 6 points.

Evan Esguerra finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.