Combat Edge Intelligence

Evgeny Morozov vs Gian Siqueira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record21-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
170 lbsWeight175 lbs
Barracuda Fight ClubTeamAstra Fight Team· 1595 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Evgeny Morozov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gian Siqueira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Evgeny MorozovNow 1671
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-17→ 1654
Gian SiqueiraNow 1655
If they win+17→ 1672
If they lose-15→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
Not available
Strike accuracy
100%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
Not available
Strike defense
19%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Evgeny MorozovGian Siqueira
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
2 (17%)
Submission
8 (38%)
6 (50%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Evgeny Morozov and Gian Siqueira within a point of even.

Evgeny Morozov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1655, a 16-point edge.

Evgeny Morozov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Evgeny Morozov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gian Siqueira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.