Combat Edge Intelligence

Evgeny Morozov vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Barracuda Fight ClubTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evgeny MorozovNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.77
TBD
Strike accuracy
62%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.86

Trajectory

Evgeny MorozovJean-Paul Lebosnoyani
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
2 (17%)
Submission
5 (45%)
6 (50%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani61%
Evgeny Morozov 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani a 61% favorite over Evgeny Morozov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1674), separated by just 2 points.

Evgeny Morozov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Evgeny Morozov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.