Evgeny Morozov vs Lucas Gabriel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Barracuda Fight ClubTeamNova Uniao Phuket
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny MorozovLucas Gabriel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Evgeny Morozov and Lucas Gabriel within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.
Evgeny Morozov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lucas Gabriel enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Evgeny Morozov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Gabriel 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.