Evgeny Morozov vs Marcirley Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'4"
-Reach66"
170 lbsWeight135 lbs
Barracuda Fight ClubTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1698 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Evgeny Morozov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcirley Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-17→ 1654
If they win+17→ 1670
If they lose-15→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Evgeny MorozovMarcirley Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcirley Alves62%
Evgeny Morozov 38%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcirley Alves a 62% favorite over Evgeny Morozov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evgeny Morozov's way (47%).
Evgeny Morozov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1653, a 18-point edge.
Evgeny Morozov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Marcirley Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Evgeny Morozov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcirley Alves 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.