Combat Edge Intelligence

Evgeny Morozov vs Omar El Dafrawy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record16-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Barracuda Fight ClubTeamSoma Fight Club· 1625 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evgeny MorozovNow 1671
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-17→ 1654
Omar El DafrawyNow 1659
If they win+17→ 1676
If they lose-15→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Evgeny MorozovOmar El Dafrawy
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (19%)
6 (50%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Evgeny Morozov51%
Omar El Dafrawy 49%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Morozov a 51% favorite over Omar El Dafrawy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1659), separated by just 12 points.

Evgeny Morozov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Omar El Dafrawy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Evgeny Morozov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Omar El Dafrawy 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.