Ezra Elliott vs Melquizael Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record26-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ezra ElliottMelquizael Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ezra Elliott76%
Melquizael Costa 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ezra Elliott a 76% favorite over Melquizael Costa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melquizael Costa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.
Ezra Elliott enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Ezra Elliott finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.