Combat Edge Intelligence

Ezra Elliott vs Muhammad Naimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
MMA LabTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ezra ElliottNow 1681
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657
Muhammad NaimovNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.69
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
68%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Ezra ElliottMuhammad Naimov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
5 (63%)
Submission
2 (15%)
1 (13%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ezra Elliott76%
Muhammad Naimov 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ezra Elliott a 76% favorite over Muhammad Naimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Ezra Elliott enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Ezra Elliott finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.

Ezra Elliott carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.