Combat Edge Intelligence

Fábio Maldonado vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-18-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach76"
227 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fábio MaldonadoNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
Levi Rodrigues Jr.Now 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
59%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.60
54%
Strike defense
29%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0
57%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
62%
Takedown defense
57%
0.55
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fábio MaldonadoLevi Rodrigues Jr.
155016002026

Win method breakdown

19 (68%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
2 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Levi Rodrigues Jr.56%
Fábio Maldonado 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Levi Rodrigues Jr. a 56% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fábio Maldonado's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1561), separated by just 2 points.

Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Levi Rodrigues Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Levi Rodrigues Jr. 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.