Fábio Maldonado vs Mick Stanton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
227 lbsWeight194 lbs
Team MaldonadoTeamHAMMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fábio MaldonadoMick Stanton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mick Stanton78%
Fábio Maldonado 22%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mick Stanton a 78% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fábio Maldonado's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1558), separated by just 5 points.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mick Stanton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mick Stanton 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.