Combat Edge Intelligence

Fedor Duric vs Marcin Held

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record29-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-Reach39,5"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
MMA SpiritTeamAnkos MMA· 1664 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fedor DuricNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Marcin HeldNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
Not available
Strike accuracy
35%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.02
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.46
Not available
Takedown accuracy
47%
Not available
Takedown defense
38%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Fedor DuricMarcin Held
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
5 (50%)
Submission
15 (52%)
2 (20%)
Decision
10 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Fedor Duric and Marcin Held within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1680), separated by just 1 points.

Fedor Duric enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Fedor Duric finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.