Felipe dos Santos vs Luis Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record3-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
70"Reach-
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamDelta Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felipe dos SantosLuis Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Hernandez53%
Felipe dos Santos 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Hernandez a 53% favorite over Felipe dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe dos Santos's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1580), separated by just 4 points.
Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Felipe dos Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Luis Hernandez 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.