Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Franco vs Magomed Tuchalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record7-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
76"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1684 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamDagestan Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FrancoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Magomed TuchalovNow 1666
If they win+24→ 1690
If they lose-24→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
38%
Strike defense
Not available
3.02
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
88%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Felipe FrancoMagomed Tuchalov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
4 (36%)
Submission
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Franco56%
Magomed Tuchalov 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 56% favorite over Magomed Tuchalov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.

Magomed Tuchalov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Tuchalov 86%.

Magomed Tuchalov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.