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Combat Edge Intelligence

Flavio Moura vs Karl Albrektsson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gracie FusionTeamPancrase Gym Sweden

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Flavio MouraNow 1485
If they win+25→ 1510
If they lose-23→ 1462
Karl AlbrektssonNow 1497
If they win+15→ 1512
If they lose-17→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Flavio MouraKarl Albrektsson
1500155020002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (47%)
Submission
3 (21%)
5 (26%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Flavio Moura53%
Karl Albrektsson 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Flavio Moura a 53% favorite over Karl Albrektsson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karl Albrektsson's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1497), separated by just 12 points.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Flavio Moura finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.