Flavio Moura vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
187 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gracie FusionTeamPancrase Gym Sweden
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1510
If they lose-23→ 1462
If they win+15→ 1512
If they lose-17→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Flavio MouraKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson54%
Flavio Moura 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 54% favorite over Flavio Moura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1497), separated by just 12 points.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Flavio Moura finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.