Fran Breen vs Luis Camargo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record3-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
-Reach-
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamRouted MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Fran BreenLuis Camargo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Camargo57%
Fran Breen 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Camargo a 57% favorite over Fran Breen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fran Breen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1546), separated by just 1 points.
Fran Breen finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Luis Camargo 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.