Combat Edge Intelligence

Fran Luka Đurić vs Reece McLaren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record19-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top Team Zagreb· 1614 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBoonchu Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fran Luka ĐurićNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Reece McLarenNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Fran Luka ĐurićReece McLaren
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
2 (25%)
Submission
9 (47%)
3 (38%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Fran Luka Đurić62%
Reece McLaren 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fran Luka Đurić a 62% favorite over Reece McLaren in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Reece McLaren's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Fran Luka Đurić enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Fran Luka Đurić finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Reece McLaren 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.