Combat Edge Intelligence

Francesco Nuzzi vs Movsar Ibragimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'3"Height5'8"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight140 lbs
Wolf TempleTeamLa Cage

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francesco NuzziNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Movsar IbragimovNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Francesco NuzziMovsar Ibragimov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (27%)
Submission
4 (50%)
3 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Movsar Ibragimov63%
Francesco Nuzzi 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Ibragimov a 63% favorite over Francesco Nuzzi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francesco Nuzzi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1661), separated by just 0 points.

Francesco Nuzzi finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Ibragimov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.