Francisco Hernandez vs Mansur Khatuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'5"
-Reach-
149 lbsWeight137 lbs
MMA ColombiaTeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Francisco HernandezMansur Khatuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Hernandez53%
Mansur Khatuev 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Hernandez a 53% favorite over Mansur Khatuev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mansur Khatuev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.
Francisco Hernandez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Francisco Hernandez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Khatuev 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.