Frank Caracci vs Joe Schilling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record4-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'7"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443
If they win+24→ 1486
If they lose-24→ 1438
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling62%
Frank Caracci 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 62% favorite over Frank Caracci in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Caracci's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1467 vs 1462), separated by just 5 points.
Frank Caracci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.