Combat Edge Intelligence

Fred Ettish vs Marcio Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
180 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamBonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fred EttishNow 1493
If they win+24→ 1517
If they lose-24→ 1469
Marcio CabralNow 1497
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Fred EttishMarcio Cabral
1450150020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral62%
Fred Ettish 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 62% favorite over Fred Ettish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1493 vs 1497), separated by just 4 points.

Marcio Cabral 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.